Leading Web Measurement Firms Merge to
End Industry Infighting.
But is the Devil in the Details?
by Dave Zornow
Here are excerpts from my November 1998 column for Cable Avails magazine. For
the complete story and lots more on the business of buying and selling Cable
Television locally and nationally, call Cable Avails at 303 837-0900.
Ad-supported web sites and ad agencies are breathing a sigh of
relief after the two leading providers of World Wide Web usage have agreed to
merge their operations. RelevantKnowledge, based in Atlanta, and Media Metrix,
with offices in Manhattan and Long Island will join forces to create a single
company with 90 employees and about 250 clients. The new company will be called
"Media Metrix: The Power of Relevant Knowledge" and will offer a
combined sample of 40,000 business and home users covering 15,000 web sites.
The merger is in response to frustrations expressed by online
advertisers and agencies for uniform measurement standards and more consistent
usage reporting. Clients to the new company are just happy that the two firms
have agreed to terms and will cease publicly sniping at each other. "This
medium is getting slaughtered because it can't be reliably measured," says
Richy Glassberg, senior vice president at Turner Interactive Sales. "The
very least this will do is keep them from fighting with one another. We are
getting killed because the agencies and advertisers can't quantify what we have
to offer." Glassberg says the confusion created by methodological and
reporting differences discourage agencies from spending money on web
advertising.
Clients hope the new Media Metrix will overcome some of the
limitations of its two predecessors. For example, Media Metrix had a relatively
small representation of business users as compared to RK. RelevantKnowledge
always struggled with measuring America OnLine, a service which some estimates
say accounts for 50 percent of U.S. usage of the World Wide Web. Their
methodology for recruiting respondents was also different: RK used a
researcher-preferred random probability sample designed to properly represent
the web population; MM preferred a "random mail" approach using
targeted mailing lists and members of parent company NPD's diary sample. Each
company differed in the way they collected data from respondents with RK using
the web to collect data in real time and Media Metrix requiring panelists to
mail back a diskette containing information collected with its PC Meter
software. As a result of these differences, the monthly report of top 25 web
sites produced by each company showed contradictory lists of the web's most
popular pages.
Client reaction to the merger has been overwhelmingly
favorable. "This creates the motherhouse of internet research
companies," says Lynn Bolger, senior vice president and media director for
APL Digital, the online division of ad agency Ammirati and Puris. "Both
companies are combining their strengths into a single strong source instead of
using their energies to rip each other apart." Cable networks like
Discovery agree that the merger can only work to strengthen the fledgling
industry. "We're very happy about it," says Doug Pulick, vice
president for research at Discovery Communication. "The two systems were so
disparate that it was a case where competition wasn't helping the industry.
There were huge differences in how they performed their work."
Is the devil in the details?
Can two companies with different methodologies, differ data
collection schemes and different cultures merge their systems into one unified
product? "The differences in our top 25 lists are not as great as some
people believe," says Mary Ann Packo, president of the new combined Media
Metrix. "Once we normalized the data and started comparing the results on
an apples to apples basis, they were really close." Some of the
discrepancies Packo cites include different measurement weeks, differences in
what population was measured (Media Metrix measured users two years and up
compared to RK which used a 12+ sample) and differing results from the business
and AOL portions of the panel.
The new Media Metrix plans to merge the results of both
services beginning with its November 1998 Web Report in mid-December. Media
Metrix will then develop and deliver a hybrid meter which combines Relevant
Knowledge technology with Media Metrix's PC Meter. The new software will be
rolled out to the 40,000 members of the combined panel in the second quarter of
next year. Packo dismisses concerns about merging RK's random-digit-dial (RDD)
telephone sample with MM's sample built from mailing lists. "When we
compared the usage from both panels, the results were very similar," she
says.
Clients aren't so sure the transition will be that easy.
"Its more complicated than that it seems," says APL Digital's Bolger.
"You need to carefully plan how you are going to merge the panels to make
sure you don't screw up the whole system."
Other clients remain skeptical about the merged companies
intentions, fearing that they will drop RK's more scientific approach for MM's
less expensive recruiting method. "I find it hard to believe that Media
Metrix's sample -- as a sub sample of NPD's national PC sample -- is a better
representation of the web universe than RelevantKnowledge's," says one
client. "It would be a step backward if they were to give up on probability
sampling."
The assertion that both panels have similar profiles is
somewhat suspect, " says Craig Gugel President of media research consulting
firm Manhattan-Pacific Multimedia and former executive vice president of Bates
USA. "They have produced different numbers in the past year and I would be
suspicious if the differences would suddenly disappear." Gugel says that
RK's better methodology was their recognized advantage over Media Metrix and
that many clients would not look favorably at joint venture if they rejected the
random probability approach. "One of the reasons we were intrigued by
RelevantKnowledge was that their methodology was so polished. We will have to
see what the new company decides to do."
Copyright 2003, Dave Zornow
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